The spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) in the National Capital Region has eased, with the reproduction number going down to 0.83, according to OCTA Research.

The group said that the average daily cases of 3,144 in the past week is down by 18 percent compared to the previous weeks and is also 43 percent lower than the peak seven-day average of 5,551 new cases.

However, OCTA said that for the region to continue its recovery process, the number of cases should further go down.

“If the reproduction number holds at 0.85, the number of new cases per day in the NCR should decrease to 3,000 for May 2 to 8 and 2,800 for May 9 to 15. If the reproduction number begins to increase again, there will be concern about the current quarantine restrictions in the NCR Plus,” OCTA said, referring to the NCR Plus bubble which also includes the provinces of Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, and Bulacan.

Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said that the public should not be complacent because cases are going down.

“This is not for us to be complacent at this point, tuloy tuloy nating tignan ang pagbaba ng kaso (we will see the decrease of cases) and hopefully it becomes significant when we try to look at the health care system also,” Vergeire said.